Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.674707 7.400897 8.239506 9.296937 10.621496 12.265829 14.532528
2024-12-22 5.570739 6.422056 7.481502 8.945755 11.008479 13.985648 19.040262
2024-12-29 5.055460 6.035589 7.343250 9.324708 12.502577 18.048734 31.054543
2025-01-05 4.599632 5.646116 7.124238 9.552397 13.967944 23.519586 60.440788
2025-01-12 4.098132 5.119417 6.616048 9.213683 14.397966 27.892289 130.595558
2025-01-19 3.668073 4.639514 6.101424 8.745588 14.429640 31.948980 532.575323
2025-01-26 3.537859 4.581056 6.233358 9.481627 17.710946 58.535968 NaN
2025-02-02 3.541556 4.726410 6.735030 11.186090 26.089913 501.348868 NaN
2025-02-09 3.427434 4.668262 6.873705 12.223606 35.428014 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.287298 4.548221 6.874591 12.963830 47.441442 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.140163 4.398147 6.788939 13.458980 63.237725 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.906532 4.073038 6.292798 12.503082 59.487223 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.783695 3.957563 6.272323 13.296177 98.852504 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.563225 3.645577 5.782003 12.279947 92.773619 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.446555 3.514004 5.673722 12.645829 158.963597 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.329785 3.371224 5.518535 12.787975 312.796776 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.184028 3.162055 5.181466 12.042710 315.792128 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.046289 2.959016 4.837707 11.169904 252.358704 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.006709 2.938727 4.920841 12.202916 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.014426 3.010175 5.244111 14.825113 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.977346 2.989078 5.331187 16.436077 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.928111 2.938512 5.330791 17.583663 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.873530 2.872112 5.275445 18.336020 NaN NaN NaN